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Key findings
  • On average across 38 surveyed countries, health ranks as the most important problem that Africans want their governments to address, overtaking unemployment at the top of citizens’ policy agenda for the first time in at least a decade.
  • Seven in 10 Africans (70%) say their governments should ensure that all citizens have access to adequate health care, even if that means raising taxes.
  • Among Africans who had contact with a public clinic or hospital during the previous year: o Half (51%) say it was “difficult” or “very difficult” to obtain the care they needed. o Almost two-thirds (63%) indicate that high costs prevented them from getting the care or medicines they needed. o Majorities report encountering a variety of other problems, including long wait times (79%), a lack of medicines or other supplies (71%), facilities in poor condition (58%), and/or absent doctors or other medical staff (56%).
  • Almost two-thirds (65%) of Africans say that they or a family member went without needed health care during the previous year, including 26% who say this happened “many times” or “always.”
  • On average across 36 countries, most citizens (79%) say they do not have any form of medical-aid coverage. o The most common reasons for not having medical aid are that people can’t afford it (35%), don’t know of any available health-insurance schemes (33%), and find enrolment procedures complicated (11%).
  • The most common reasons for not having medical aid are that people can’t afford it (35%), don’t know of any available health-insurance schemes (33%), and find enrolment procedures complicated (11%).
  • More than half (53%) of Africans say they worry “a lot” that if they or someone in their family gets sick, they will not be able to obtain or afford needed medical care. Another 35% say they worry “somewhat” or “a little.”
  • Fewer than half (45%) of Africans say their government is performing “fairly well” or “very well” on improving basic health services, though assessments vary widely by country.

Since the COVID-19 pandemic, African governments have been compelled to reassess how  best to protect hard-won public health gains while ensuring equitable and reliable care.  These reassessments are taking place against a background of shifting geopolitical  alignments, tightening fiscal space, and growing public expectations of quality public  services. This reckoning intensified in 2025 with the disbanding of the United States Agency for  International Development (USAID) and the cancellation of major foreign-funded health  programmes, effectively dismantling one of the pillars of Africa’s health-support architecture. 

For more than two decades, USAID served as the operational backbone of the U.S.  President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS Relief (PEPFAR), translating the initiative’s strategic vision  into the clinics, supply chains, community programmes, and health-systems infrastructure that  sustained much of Africa’s HIV response (KFF, 2025). The loss of USAID introduced profound uncertainty regarding PEPFAR’s future and signalled the erosion of the institutional machinery  that had underpinned progress in HIV prevention and treatment across the continent (UNAIDS, 2025). Although a temporary waiver by the U.S. government permitted the  continued supply of essential antiretroviral medicines, available estimates indicate that  roughly 65% of USAID-managed PEPFAR awards were terminated or left in limbo, leaving  millions of beneficiaries across sub-Saharan Africa exposed (Godbole, 2025; KFF, 2025). Other  donors have not filled the gaps left by the U.S. withdrawal, and indeed development  assistance for health is contracting across the board (Apeagyei et al., 2025). 

Crucially, the shock to HIV/AIDS programming has reverberated beyond the HIV sector,  exposing systemic vulnerabilities across health systems. Facilities, supply chains, and human resource systems originally built around PEPFAR had evolved into core components of  primary health care in several countries. As these platforms falter, the ripple effects have  been immediate and far-reaching: drug shortages, supply-chain breakdowns, staffing  disruptions, and widening health-care-delivery gaps (Cullinan, 2025). These consequences,  documented by Médecins Sans Frontières (2025) and echoed in national health ministry  reports, point to a broader destabilisation of the health-system foundations upon which  many African countries have come to rely since 2000. 

Reduced health aid has in some cases reinforced ambitions for reduced dependence on  international support (Pate & Duneton, 2025). At the same time, persistent fiscal constraints  have weakened African governments’ ability to cushion the shock. The last three years have  seen recurrent health-worker strikes and service disruptions in South Africa (Al Jazeera, 2023),  Uganda (Abet, 2024), Kenya (Reuters, 2024), and Ethiopia (Human Rights Watch, 2025) as  frontline staff protest unpaid allowances and deteriorating working conditions. In August  2025, Botswana declared a public-health emergency after its national medical supply chain  failed, forcing the army to distribute scarce medicines across major hospitals (Al Jazeera,  2025). The Malawian government also warned of imminent tuberculosis-drug stockouts amid  global aid cuts and domestic logistics bottlenecks (Masauli, 2025). In Zambia, revelations of  widespread theft of donated medicines led the U.S. government to suspend $50 million in  health aid and prompted forensic audits (U.S. Embassy in Zambia, 2025).  

Together, external uncertainty and internal fiscal strain have deepened the cracks in health system resilience, reinforcing the urgency to rethink Africa’s health-financing architecture.  Across the continent, reform and experimentation toward universal health coverage (UHC)  are underway. In Ghana, the government increased National Health Insurance Scheme  funding from GH¢ 5.9 billion in 2024 to GH¢ 9.8 billion in 2025 (Ghana Ministry of Finance &  Economic Planning, 2025a, b), and enrolment was reported at around 18 million members in  mid-2025, though official figures vary across government sources (Ghana National Health  Insurance Authority, 2025). In Kenya, the National Hospital Insurance Fund has similarly  undergone major reforms, including benefit expansion, civil-servant schemes, and subsidy  mechanisms. That said, formal social health-insurance uptake remains limited: Only 17% of  the population was covered in 2023, comprising just 27% of informal-sector workers (Nungo, Filippon, & Russo, 2024). In Nigeria, the passage of the National Health Insurance Authority  Act of 2022 and the rollout of its implementation plan between 2023 and 2025 marked an important policy shift toward mandatory health coverage for all residents (Ilesanmi, Afolabi,  & Adeoya, 2023). Replacing a voluntary model, the act provides for a unified system that  pools risk across federal, state, and private schemes. Yet despite this reform momentum,  insurance penetration in Nigeria remains extremely low – fewer than 5% of Nigerians are  enrolled, and roughly 70% of households still pay out of pocket for medical expenses  (Okechukwu, Iseolorunkanmi, & Adeloye, 2024). 

Meanwhile, initiatives to reduce dependency, strengthen local ownership and leadership,  and improve coordination among health actors are proliferating – from the Lusaka Agenda  (Future of Global Health Initiatives, 2024) and the New Public Health Order for Africa (Africa  CDC, 2023) to the Accra Reset (2026). Part of this development is seen in the establishment  of vaccine-production hubs in Senegal, South Africa, and Egypt, illustrating Africa’s growing  ambition to localise supply chains and strengthen health sovereignty (World Health  Organization, 2021; Abdullahi et al., 2025). Digital health innovations – from mobile health to  data-driven monitoring platforms – are beginning to fill gaps left by retreating donor  programmes, though their impact remains uneven (Ahmed et al., 2025; Qoseem et al., 2024). The impact of new U.S. bilateral health agreements with more than 20 African nations based  on the America First Global Health Strategy also remains to be seen (KFF, 2026). 

Amid these dynamics in the health sector, we draw on Afrobarometer survey data to explore how ordinary Africans are experiencing their health systems in transition. 

Across 38 countries surveyed between January 2024 and September 2025, Africans rank  health as the top policy issue that they want their governments to address, dislodging  unemployment. In fact, fully seven in 10 Africans say their governments should ensure that all  citizens have access to adequate health care even if that means they pay higher taxes.  

In practice, persistent financing and delivery challenges in the health sector continue to  impact citizens negatively. Most Africans say they worry about their ability to obtain and  afford needed medical care. Among respondents who had contact with a public hospital or  clinic in the past 12 months, many report difficulties accessing medical care and cite shortages of medical supplies, long wait times, and high costs.  

Taken together, these findings reveal a continent undergoing a profound recalibration. With  traditional pillars of health-care financing from external sources eroding and fiscal space  tightening, African governments face the urgent task of aligning policy ambition with  institutional capability. Yet the most enduring lesson from the ongoing transition is that health system resilience must take into account the lived realities of citizens. 

Joseph Asunka

Joseph Asunka is the chief executive officer at Afrobarometer.

Boniface Dulani

Boni is the director of surveys at Afrobarometer

Kamal Yakubu

Kamal Yakubu is Afrobarometer’s capacity building manager (advanced Track).