BP103: Voting intentions in Zimbabwe: A margin of terror?

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Briefing papers
2012
103
Bratton, Michael and Eldred Masunungure

Intermittently over the past decade, researchers have taken the political pulse of the general public in Zimbabwe. Public opinion surveys provide information on what ordinary citizens are thinking about the issues of the day. Among the most anticipated survey results are the expressed party preferences and voting intentions. At any given time, Zimbabweans are understandably eager to know how their fellow citizens would vote “if an election were held tomorrow.”  This briefing paper offers an alternative account of current voting intentions in Zimbabwe.  The analysis rests on data from the latest Afrobarometer survey of July 2012.