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GLOBAL
RELEASE OF ROUND 4 RESULTS
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conjunction with Africa Day on May 25, the
Afrobarometer is pleased to announce the release
of results from our fourth round of surveys,
conducted in 19 countries during 2008. The
release also marks the 10th anniversary of
the launching of the Afrobarometer. Our first
respondent was interviewed in Ghana in July
1999, and we have now completed over 105,000
interviews in 20 countries.
This
wealth of data allows us to explore critical
trends on the continent with respect to
democracy and regime consolidation, poverty
reduction, globalization and cosmopolitanism,
and the emergence of democratic citizens.
The Briefing Papers linked below highlight
each of these themes in turn. The Compendium
of Round 4 Results presents additional data
on many of the core items included in the
Round 4 survey on topics such as local and
central government performance, leadership
evaluations, perceptions and experience
of corruption, institutional trust, and
a host of other topics.
Key findings
include:
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ON DEMOCRACY...
The 20 African
countries included in the Afrobarometer
include many of the most politically liberal
countries on the continent, including 7
countries ranked by Freedom House in 2008
as "Free." However, when we assess
the quality of these regimes based on popular
attitudes and perceptions, we do not find
any consolidated democracies among them
(although Botswana comes close). In fact,
we find some consolidating as autocracies,
but most countries are best understood as
unconsolidated, hybrid regimes. They exhibit
some key elements of democracy, such as
regular elections and protection of core
individual freedoms. But either the popular
demand for democracy, or the perceived supply
of democracy, or, in most cases, both, fall
short of the standards of full democracy.
But the trajectories of individual countries
are extremely diverse, with some exhibiting
sharp declines away from democratic consolidation,
while others are steadily advancing.
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Briefing Paper No.67
"Neither Consolidating Nor Fully Democratic:
The Evolution of African Political Regimes,
1999-2008" (288 kb) Download
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ON
POVERTY...
Even with the significant
growth that sub-Saharan Africa has experienced
over the past decade, as of 2008 lived poverty
(or the extent to which people regularly go
without basic necessities) is still extensive.
It has declined in nine of the Afrobarometer
countries for which we have over-time data
during this period, but it has increased in
another six. Cross-national differences in
economic growth help explain differing country
trajectories in lived poverty. But a more
complete picture must also take political
freedom into consideration. Lived poverty
is strongly related to country-level measures
of political freedom, and changes in poverty
are related to changes in freedom. This finding
supports Sen's (1999) argument about the crucial
importance of freedom for development. Using
our alternative measures of both development
and democracy, we corroborate the findings
of others that there is a "democracy
advantage" for well being and prosperity. |
| Briefing
Paper No.68 "Poverty Reduction, Economic
Growth and Democratization in Sub-Saharan
Africa" (282 kb) Download. |
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| ON
GLOBALIZATION AND COSMOPOLITANISM… |
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| Briefing
Paper No. 69 "Citizens of the World?
Africans, Media and Telecommunications" (75.6kb) Download |
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| ON
DEMOCRATIC CITIZENSHIP... |
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| Briefing
Paper No.70 "Are Democratic Citizens
Emerging in Africa" (213 kb) Download. |
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WELL AS MANY OTHER FINDINGS… |
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Working Paper No.108 "The Quality
of Democracy and Governance in Africa: New
Results from Afrobarometer Round 4"
(877kb)
Download.
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SELECTED PRESS COVERAGE
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| AFROBAROMETER'S
MOST RECENT PUBLICATIONS |
ANNOUNCEMENTS
& EVENTS |
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| WORKING
PAPERS |
| No.120 |
Harding, Robin. "Urban-Rural Differences in Support for Incumbents Across Africa ". 2010. Abstract (658kb) Download |
| No.119 |
Bratton, Michael. "Citizen Perceptions of Local Government Responsiveness in Sub-Saharan Africa". 2010. Abstract (654kb) Download |
| No.118 |
Keefer, Philip." The Ethnicity Distraction? Political Credibility and Partisan Preferences in Africa". 2010. Abstract (639kb) Download |
| No.117 |
Gadzala, Aleksandra and Marek Hanusch. " African Perspectives on China-Africa: Gauging Popular Perceptions and their Economic and Political Determinants". 2010. Abstract (465kb) Download |
| No.116 |
Chang, Eric and Nicholas Kerr. “Do Voters Have Different Attitudes toward Corruption? The Sources and Implications of Popular Perceptions and Tolerance of Political Corruption.” 2009. (707kb) Download |
| No.115 |
Young, Daniel. “Support You Can Count On? Ethnicity, Partisanship, and Retrospective Voting in Africa.” 2009. (795kb) Download |
| No.114 |
Kramon, Eric. “Vote-Buying and Political Behavior: Estimating and Explaining Vote-Buying's Effect on Turnout in Kenya.” 2009. (873kb) Download |
| No.113 |
McCauley, John F., E. Gyimah-Boadi. "Religious Faith and Democracy: Evidence from the Afrobarometer Surveys" 2009. (873kb) Download |
| No.112 |
Robinson, Amanda Lea. "National versus Ethnic Identity in Africa:State, Group, and Individual Level Correlates of National Identification" 2009. (790kb) Download |
| No.111 |
Kirwin, Mathew and Wonbin Cho. "Weak States and Political Violence in sub-Saharan Africa." 2009. Download |
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BRIEFING
PAPERS
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| No.91 |
Kenyans and the Coalition Government: Disappointment in spite of Relative Peace. (927 kb) Download. |
| No.90 |
Integration in East Africa: Uninformed Kenyans Oppose Political Federation. (560 kb) Download. |
| No.89 |
Local Government in Kenya: Negative Citizen Perception and Minimal Engagement in Local Government Affairs. (799 kb) Download. |
| No.88 |
Namibia Political Party Prospects Leading to the 2009 Elections. (815 kb) Download. |
| No.87 |
Economic Conditions, Living Conditions and Poverty in Mozambique. (123 kb) Download. |
| No.86 |
Observance of the Rule of Law in Mozambique. (113 kb) Download. |
| No.85 |
The Public Mood on Zimbabwe’s Inclusive Government. (259 kb) Download. |
| No.84 |
Green Shoots of Hope: Changing Economic Conditions in Zimbabwe. (637 kb) Download. |
| No.83 |
Zimbabwe: People's Development Agenda in 2009. (235 kb) Download. |
| No.82 |
Tolerance in South Africa: Exploring Popular Attitudes Toward Foreigners. (290 kb) Download. |
| No.81 |
Citizen Perceptions of the Economic and Living Conditions in Zambia. (142 kb) Download. |
| PRESS
RELEASES |
| Coming
soon. |
|
Available Now: Online Data Analysis of Global Barometer Surveys |
The Globalbarometer Surveys (GBS) is the first comprehensive effort to measure, at a mass level, the current social, political, and economic atmosphere around the world. It provides an independent, non-partisan, multidisciplinary view of public opinion on a range of policy-relevant issues. Users are invited to analyse data for 55 countries (including 18 African countries) across the Global South without need for a statistical software package.
Access On-line Data Analysis Now! |
| Release
of Round 4 Data |
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Round 4 data sets are released approximately
one year after the completion of fieldwork
in each country. So far, we have released
the following:
Ghana
Download Round
4 Data Now!
Nigeria
Download Round 4 Data Now! |
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Completion
of Round 4 Surveys
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Round 4 surveys began
in March 2008 and were completed in
19 countries by December 2008. Watch
the website for release of results
and bulletins (results
by country), and data. A Round
4 survey may be conducted in Zimbabwe
early 2009 based on the prevailing
conditions. The following includes
selected coverage of the release of
results in various countries.
Zimbabwe
Zimbabwe: New Survey Shows Tsvangirai More Trusted Than MugabeOpposition September 26, 2009. (108 kb) Download
Uganda
10 Failures of Opposition: Why a limping Museveni remains solid against toothless opposition, The Independent, May 26, 2009. (184 kb) Download
Africa
AFRICA:
Keen on Democracy, Despite Mixed Results
- Azhar, Inter Press Service News
Agency November 20, 2008. (100kb)
Download
Burkina
Faso
Qualité
de la démocratie et de la gouvernance
au Burkina: Afrobaromètre a
mené l’enquêt -
Faso Presso, mardi 20 janvier 2009.
(104kb) Download
Cape Verde
Cape
Verde increasingly believe in the
consolidation of democracy - Panapress,
October 9, 2008. (99kb) Download
Madagascar
Popularité
Ravalomanana perd la cote chez les
diplômés - Tribune Madagascar.com,
lundi 3 novembre 2008. (55kb)
Download
Uganda
Poverty
worries Ugandans - The New Vision, March
11, 2009. (70kb). Download |
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Online Data
Analysis Launch
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You can now analyze
AB results interactively without having
to download data or acquire statistical
software. Try the new AB
Online Data Analysis facility.
This tool will allow you to select
a sample or samples, browse the question
index, analyze marginals and cross-tabulations,
and produce graphics.
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The
Micro-Foundations of Mass Politics
in Africa Conference 12-13 May, 2007
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To
date, scholars of African politics
have concentrated principally on the
deeds, and misdeeds, of political
elites. Studies of mass participation
have been largely limited to local
cases and have been hampered by the
lack of systematic data on public
values, attitudes and behavior. The
advent of the Afrobarometer, now comprising
three rounds of national probability
sample surveys in up to 18 African
countries, 1999-2006, offers unique
opportunities to delve into the
micro-foundations of mass politics
on the sub-Saharan sub-continent.
Accordingly,
on behalf of the Afrobarometer Network,
Michigan State University is pleased
to have hosted a conference on this
subject in East Lansing, Michigan
on May 12-13, 2007. Conference
information
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AWARDS
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| The
Afrobarometer won the 2004 Data Set
Award of the American Political Science
Association's Comparative Politics Section |
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LIST
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